Think Non-Linearly About AI
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is having a profound impact on our world, with effects that will ripple through our economies, political systems and even our societal structures.
In the short term, AI will bring about significant productivity gains, but the long-term implications are uncertain.
What happens when everyone has access to AI tools that continue to get better and better?
How will this lead to changes in our markets (financial, labor, others), the concept of money, and decision-making structures such as corporations, governments, and other institutions?
Already, we are seeing the development of private AI by many Fortune 500 companies for compliance reasons, while small businesses are using public AI for massive productivity gains.
Is this a short term David and Goliath moment?
Additionally, AutoGPT has been introduced, which uses self-reinforcing AI to do tasks on its own and interfaces with GPT 4.
In the long term, AI will bring about changes in the existential meanings of what it means to be human and how society functions.
As we approach technological singularity, it is uncertain what the future holds, with some researchers claiming that AGI is possible within 18 months. In fact, leaked MS docs show that GPT 5 may already be being trained?
There are many questions that arise from this, such as whether we should be optimistic or pessimistic about the effects of AI, whether there is a need for regulation, and how humans will make decisions about merging with AI or not.
It is difficult to make predictions about these NON-LINEAR outcomes, but it is clear that AI will continue to iterate and improve, reducing the cost of human labor and making small teams massively productive at least short term.
As we navigate this new era, it is important to consider the potential for civilization-level changes and even galaxy-level changes.
The possibilities are endless, but it is up to us to use AI for the greater good and to be mindful of the implications that it brings. Ultimately, AI is a tool that will change everything for the future of productivity, economy, and beyond.
